Sunday, August 3, 2008

Stats: How Many Women in HK Fit into GF Criteria of Typical XBC?

Flipped version of the prevoius note. So, based on my BF criteria, I was left with only 3-4 men in HK who fit my basic requirements and might ask me out. What about guys? How many girls in HK fit into GF criteria of a "typical" XBC (Foreign Born Chinese)? Of course, everyone's standards are different. Just as an illustration, using some common criteria among my male friends, here the calculation.

HK Population: 6.963 million
AND Female : 3.665 million
AND Age 25-34: 605,500
AND Never Married: Never Married incidence is 50% = 302,750
AND With Degree: Incidence 30.5% = 92,339
AND Chinese born in HK, Macau, European Countries, US, UK, Canada, Australia, or Oceania; Chinese born in Mainland China but holding other passports: Incidence 90% = 82105
AND 5'4" to 5'7": Young female adult in HK mean height is slightly less than 5'3" according to the Education Commission of S.A.R. Estimated incidence (I have no sense of height, so just a rough estimate): 40% = 32842
AND English as usual language or close to usual language:
Incidence of "English as usual language" is only 0.51% among Chinese in overall population above 5 years old, there is no information by age group. So, let's assume among this age group, the incidence is 1% (which makes sense, among general population, not just among other English speaking friends you hang out with). So if one is okay with "close to somewhat good English but not quite as 'usual language'" then let's triple the incidence just like what I did for mine - 3% = 985
AND Better looking than 40% of women (overall appearance including physique): 591
AND No stable boyfriend yet: Estimate incidence...err...60%?! = 355
AND NOT too bitchy, obviously gold-digging (most guys don't care about the rest right?): Estimate incidence 70%: 249
AND Would say yes if you asked them out on a date Estimated incidence 100%: 249

CONCLUSION:
1. For most foreign born Chinese men who are primarily English speaking, there are roughly 249 women you can possibly ask out, if your standards are not too high. (If you have additional expectations, then keep filtering based on n=249)

2. Men in HK are lucky bastards ;P

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